When Should You Not Hit In Blackjack

 
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  1. Blackjack Hit Guide
  2. When Should You Not Hit In Blackjack Game

Here's the situation:

You're in a four deck game, with standard rules. You've been dealt a seven and a five for a hard 12, while the dealer shows a three as his upcard. He might bust, and then again he might not. You're mulling it over. What do you do here?

If you go over 21 you bust, and the dealer wins regardless of the dealer's hand. If you are dealt 21 from the start (Ace & 10), you got a blackjack. Blackjack usually means you win 1.5 the amount of your bet. Depends on the casino. Dealer will hit until his/her cards total 17 or higher. Well, you're going to have to hit the hand, but make sure you take just one hit. Any card you draw will take your new three-card total beyond what would call for a hit in your Basic Strategy. This is somewhat similar to the dynamic involved in the 12 vs. If you do not hit this hand, you WILL win about 1.5% more of your hands. Whether you should hit or stand always depends on the dealer’s blackjack hand. One of the worst case scenarios is when the dealer has an ace. In this case you should try to get a good hand of 17 or above as the dealer is likely to have a strong hand considering they have a big chance of hitting a 10-value-card (10, Jack, Queen, King).

Well, you're going to have to hit the hand, but make sure you take just one hit. Any card you draw will take your new three-card total beyond what would call for a hit in your Basic Strategy.

This is somewhat similar to the dynamic involved in the 12 vs. 2 situation. If you do not hit this hand, you WILL win about 1.5% more of your hands. So why don't I stand here, you ask?

Well, the flip side is that you're going to lose about 3.5% more if you stand pat.

You will push 5% of the time with the dealer. Sometimes the reason you make a certain play is NOT to win more than you lose (because it's not always possible) or to win more often than you would otherwise.

Sometimes you make a play because it will cause you to lose less than otherwise. Pushes are not a bad thing for you here. 'Pushing' the hand means that you don't lose; you just get your original bet turned back to you and you start all over again.

Hit or stand blackjack practice

Unless your potential gain can outweigh your potential loss, don't move against the recommended Basic Strategy. Remember that you will at times be called upon to hit a potential busting hand against a dealer's 'stiff' upcard.

Blackjack Hit Guide

If there is an overriding lesson to be learned here, it's not to be afraid to do it if the percentages dictate it!

US vs. THEM Blackjack Strategy Series
An Analysis
By Charles Jay

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